I am running the Rock n Roll Seattle Marathon next Saturday. This is my fourth marathon but the first that I have actually completed a full training schedule. I peeked at 55 miles per week and completed a 20 mile training run in 2:42 (8:08 pace). I felt good at the end of at run but am nervous about trying to go 10 seconds a mile faster and 6 miles further. I want to target 3:30, but am scared that I will fall apart in the last 5-6 miles. The pace calculators say that 3:30 is reasonable, but I don't know wether to trust them. Anyone have an opinion about whether 3:30 is a reasonable goal? I have been running for about 2 years and slowly built to the 50 mile a week load I have had this last training cycle. I have been injury free this time. Not sure what other info would help, but I will provide any answers anyone generous enou to think about this would like to have. Thanks very much.
I have found the race calculators, I used McMillan to work well for me in all races. My marathon issues which I have had the last two times were because I went out to fast (you cannot bank time in a marathon). I would guess you can run 8:00 and that will make your time. In a marathon it is two races the 1st 20 and the last 10K. Run your 8:00 pace, early in the race you should good HR down if not then ease up a little. Good luck, be sure to take fuel as often as you can, for me the last 10 miles or so it gets very hard to take any!
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