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Click to view celtic1234's profile Amateur 37 posts since
Dec 14, 2007

Jul 24, 2007 4:47 AM

Daniels running formula-what pace do i aim for in marathon

I have been following the marathon plan in Daiels running formula and am training for the Berlin marathon in september. I find the program great -i did a PB for 10K the other day beating my previous time by 6 minutes.
What i'd like to know is what pace do i aim for in the marathon
i have been doing my M pace runs at approx 8 mins per mile.I am not sure if i could manage 26 miles at this pace.The book gives me a marathon time of 3:32-is it ok to aim for 8 mins /mile are am i going to blowup by the time i get to 22/23 miles.I blew up badly in my last marathon and don't want it to happen again. Having said that i'd love to go under 3:30.
Has anyone here followed daniels program for a marathon and do you think it's ok to pace yourself for the time he gives in the book for my associated VDOT??? His table says that my marathon time should be 3:32 should i play it safe and pace myself for 3:45 or should i bite the bullet and go for it
advice appreciated
John
Click to view tigger077's profile Legend 691 posts since
Nov 19, 1999
1. Jul 24, 2007 6:52 AM in response to: celtic1234
Marathons are tough to train for and run. You should want to finish it strongly with a sense of satisfaction that you have mastered that distance and done it justice. If it were me I would run conservatively until the 20 mile point and then decide if I had anything left to give.
Click to view Dana Becker's profile Legend 392 posts since
Nov 20, 2007
3. Jul 24, 2007 8:03 AM in response to: celtic1234
quote:<HR>Originally posted by celtic1234:
I have been following the marathon plan in Daiels running formula and am training for the Berlin marathon in september. I find the program great -i did a PB for 10K the other day beating my previous time by 6 minutes.
What i'd like to know is what pace do i aim for in the marathon
i have been doing my M pace runs at approx 8 mins per mile.I am not sure if i could manage 26 miles at this pace.The book gives me a marathon time of 3:32-is it ok to aim for 8 mins /mile are am i going to blowup by the time i get to 22/23 miles.I blew up badly in my last marathon and don't want it to happen again. Having said that i'd love to go under 3:30.
Has anyone here followed daniels program for a marathon and do you think it's ok to pace yourself for the time he gives in the book for my associated VDOT??? His table says that my marathon time should be 3:32 should i play it safe and pace myself for 3:45 or should i bite the bullet and go for it
advice appreciated
John
<HR>



I've found that Daniels' marathon times seem a bit more aggressive than most other calculators. That's definitely not to say it's wrong, but he assumes a very good training regimen, which is the way it should be.

So, if he says 3:32 based on your 10K, I would stick with 8:10 to 8:15 pace for the first 18 or so. If you feel good then pick it up gradually. The good thing is you have an incredible marathon backing you up...I will run that marathon some day. Best of luck!
Click to view Tchuck's profile Legend 554 posts since
Dec 14, 2007
5. Jul 24, 2007 8:28 AM in response to: celtic1234
If you run a 40:32 10K, you should be able to break 3:30 in the marathon assuming your miles are high enough. This equates to sub 3:08 marathon. I think you are very safe and conservative (which is ok) to be targeting 8 min pace if you are running a 10K at sub 6:30 pace again assuming your miles are up and aren't doing a ton of fast stuff to deteriorate you base and ability to hold pace.

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Click to view dcv2002's profile Legend 260 posts since
Dec 14, 2007
6. Jul 24, 2007 8:39 AM in response to: celtic1234
With Daniels, I find. That your workout paces should always be at the level of the fitness that you are currently in (basically based upon a current race time). If you best VDOT over your last few races is your 40:33 10k, you should be training at the paces for a 51.12 VDOT. Which is basically, E=8:23, MP=7:08, T=6:43. (For Daniel's marathon training you really don't need to worry about I and R pace). Are you confident the 10k was actually a 10k.

If you stick with Daniels plan (specifically his A-Plan) throughout you should know and be confident at what pace you should be able to handle by the time the marathon comes around. If you're training at a VDOT=44 I can see why you are unsure of yourself.

Daniel's offers a lot of long quality workout to build your strength and condifidence. Especially the 13-15 mile MP runs. I followed is A-plan for NYC last year. He has a workout that you perform 3 weeks out from your goal marathon. 15 miles at MP. For me I ran that at 6:59mpm (with 2 miles easy at the beginning and 2.5 miles easy at the end for 19.5 miles total). I ran my marathon at 7:06 mpm. (I went out too fast I believe, 1:29 half). So that workout was spot on. I knew going into the race I could handle around 7:00 mpm for at least 15 miles.

You also try running a half-marathon somewhere before the race. I ran one at week 8 of the 18 week plan. Ran a 1:29:05 so it gave me confidence on here I was. What kind of mileage are you running? (MPW) I averaged around 50 mpw last year.
Click to view JPGarland's profile Legend 780 posts since
Dec 7, 2007
7. Jul 24, 2007 9:08 AM in response to: celtic1234
I agree with dcv2002. Your training pace is determined by your current fitness so you should be doing things based upon the recent 10K. In my experience, subject to getting the work in, a race time at one distance is a good predictor of another.

Last year, I raced a half 5 weeks out of New York, and that gave me great confidence for the marathon. But I regret not doing an extended MP run, although I did a modified one 2 weeks out (4 mile easy, 6 mile MP, 1 mile tempo, 4 mile MP (was supposed to be 6 but stopped for a potential injury). But my schedule was screwed up by running a 4-leg relay race 7 weeks before NY.

Also as with dcv2002, I went out too hard in New York and I blew up late, running an 8 minute positive split with three stops after 21.
Click to view JPGarland's profile Legend 780 posts since
Dec 7, 2007
10. Jul 24, 2007 12:18 PM in response to: celtic1234
Since the point of the various workout paces for Daniels is to stress but not over-stress the particular system, I doubt that running slowly given what you're capable of doing does any good. The fastest Daniels stuff is Repeats, and I do a fair amount of those because they set up one's form and makes other workouts and races more efficient. I don't know the nature of your injury, but if you can get threw the speed of Repeats, Tempo runs, the other mainstay of marathon speed training, should be a piece of cake.

So I'd think about the mechanics, because that's where you'd have a breakdown. As someone who had a long stretch of major injuries, I found some slight post-PT adjustments to my form has made all the difference and I've been largely injury-free for about 18 months. If you can't get your mileage up and your speed up, you might want to address the cause of your injury.

Try to get in some Repeats for form purposes. And I never had any recovery issues doing Repeats and Tempos at (or a little faster) than what my current Vdot told me to do.
Click to view dcv2002's profile Legend 260 posts since
Dec 14, 2007
11. Jul 24, 2007 12:51 PM in response to: celtic1234
quote:<HR>Originally posted by celtic1234:
dcv2002
Can i ask you is it safe to suddenly jump from a vdot of 44 to 51.I was thinking of doing this and feel quite able for the 51 vdot training paces but i am afraid of getting injured-the last thing i want to do is over do it. Sorry about all the questions but i really do not know anyone else that runs and therefore i have nobody to ask
thanks for the advice
John
<HR>


Since your basically only have two months til your marathon (probably 9 weeks). That gives you 7 weeks of training and 2 weeks of taper. In my personal opinion I probably would not due your next quality workout at the VDOT 51 paces. However, you should maybe gradually work up over a couple of weeks (46,48,50,51). Since you are coming off an injury you really need to listen to your body. If the faster paces are killing/hurting you, then slow down. Its better to run slow than get hurt and not run at all...

Also, your mileage per week is kind of low, but its probably too late for this next marathon. I would say use this marathon as a test. Try to run a half marathon or a good long MP run 3-5 weeks out. You that work out to judge where you will be come marathon day. Since you're only averaging 34 mpw, max 42 plus not running at VDOT 51 paces, I don't think we can use the extrapolated VDOT tables times to predict your marathon time.

For your next marathon (if there is a next one). Do the full 24 week A-plan. Put in the base work (first 6 week + whatever before the 1st week), then the next 18 weeks will definitely get you ready for the marathon. Try to increase your milege such that your average mpw is at least 50mpw (if you can). I averages 50mpw with max of 65 and low of a couple mid 30's.
Click to view IceStorm213's profile Legend 354 posts since
Nov 1, 2005
12. Jul 24, 2007 1:40 PM in response to: celtic1234
Take this with a grain of salt because I'm a novice compared to most here, but I'll play devil's advocate and say bite the bullet. You can always back off, no? Of the 3 marathons I ran in the last 2 years, the pace for ## 1 & 2 found me, not the other way around. For the 3d, though, I had a time goal (BQ) and set off exactly at that pace figuring I could ease off if necessary. I wanted to build a 60-second cushion if possible. Well, I found myself at mile 20 exactly on pace but tiring. But I knew from my threshold runs that I could get to the finish line in time and made it by 70 seconds. That was all I had. If I'd started off 10 seconds per mile slower, I don't think I could have made that time up. It's easy today to say "I'll just pick it up with 6 to go" but when you get to that point it's a different game isn't it?

I know blowing up sucks, but you might just have had a crappy day.

(BTW, my 10k PR was a little over 42 and my marathon was 3:20 and my weekly mileage was generally in the mid 40s with a max @ 51 or 52)
Click to view RunnersHigh's profile Legend 259 posts since
Nov 24, 2006
13. Jul 24, 2007 4:09 PM in response to: celtic1234
I agree with Martin...When I hear someone say to run the first 20 conservatively and then see what you have left....I have to laugh. I understand that the larger mistake to make would be to go out too fast and be begging for it to be over at mile 15 but I for one have NEVER gotten to mile 20 and felt like "ok, I can take off now" and increase my pace significantly for the last 6.2 miles and make my overall goal. If you train properly, you should have a good idea of what pace you can sustain for 20+....the last 4 or so miles is guts! My best marathons have always had me holding on to my mile split pace for the last 4 or so miles chanting a mantra like "suck it up, pass that guy".
If you're not sure what you think you can run, break the race into at least 2 parts. Run the first half in 1:47 and then see how you feel. I think you'll be feeling good if you have enough long runs in and your current 10k time is what you said. Negative split the second half and you'll have your goal of 3:32 or better and feel good passing the carnage that usually is out there in the second half....Good luck!
Click to view tigger077's profile Legend 691 posts since
Nov 19, 1999
14. Dec 26, 2007 5:01 AM in response to: celtic1234
quote:<HR>Originally posted by RunnersHigh43:
I agree with Martin...When I hear someone say to run the first 20 conservatively and then see what you have left....I have to laugh. <HR>


Interesting comment. I think Pfitzinger (Advanced Marathoning) suggests the conservative approach for the first 20 and then test your limits.

Edited to add: I re-read the book and I misinterpreted what he said about the first 20 mile. He said to go out a little slower than MP for the first mile and then run at a relaxed pace, paying attention to pace from miles 13 to 20. Then assess what you have left and push your limits for the final 6.2.

http://This message has been edited by tigger (edited Jul-24-2007).